Checking tomorrow’s weather in Birmingham usually means a quick glance at the clouds and a hope for the best. But with Storm Benjamin rolling in, the forecast carries a bit more weight — and a few more unknowns. The Met Office (the UK’s national weather service) has already issued multiple yellow warnings, and Birmingham sits in the band expected to see both rain and gusty winds through the day. What follows is a breakdown of what to expect hour by hour, where the storm adds uncertainty, and how to plan your day.

4 related posts

High Temperature: 18°C (64°F) ·
Low Temperature: 12°C (54°F) ·
Rain Probability (evening): 66% ·
Wind Speed: SW 14 mph ·
UV Index: 3 of 11 ·
Sunrise / Sunset: 4:47 AM / 9:26 PM

Quick snapshot

1Morning
2Afternoon
3Evening
  • Light rain likely (66% chance) (Weather.com)
  • Temperature drops to 12°C (Met Office)
  • Wind SSW 11 mph (BBC Weather)
4Storm Benjamin

Six key figures capture Birmingham’s tomorrow outlook — the pattern is a day that starts wet, brightens briefly, then turns unsettled again as the storm nears.

Metric Forecast
Date Tomorrow
High / Low 18°C / 12°C
Precipitation Chance 66% (evening)
Wind SW 14 mph gusting to 20 mph
Humidity 72%
UV Index 3 (Moderate)

The implication: temperatures sit close to the seasonal average, but the combination of rain and gusty wind — especially during the evening commute — makes tomorrow feel more like a “layers and umbrella” day than a typical late-spring outing.

What is the weather forecast for Birmingham tomorrow?

Morning forecast: showery rain moving in

  • A band of showery rain moves in from the west during the early hours, according to BBC Weather (the UK’s public-service broadcaster).
  • The Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) shows light rain with a 90% probability around 6 AM.
  • South-westerly winds at 10–20 mph keep conditions feeling fresh, with temperatures near 15°C (Weather.com).
The upshot

Anyone heading out before 9 AM faces a near-certain soaking. The data says 90% rain probability at 6 AM — that is not a “maybe” moment. Grab the waterproof jacket before the first commute.

Afternoon clearing: sunny spells expected

  • Rain clears by early afternoon, giving way to sunny spells and variable cloud (BBC Weather).
  • The high temperature reaches 18°C — the warmest part of the day (Weather.com).
  • Humidity sits at 72%, which is moderate for Birmingham in late spring (Met Office).

Evening: light rain likely with 66% chance

  • Cloud increases through late afternoon, and light rain becomes likely by evening — 66% probability (Weather.com).
  • Temperature drops to around 12°C (Met Office).
  • Wind shifts to SSW at 11 mph (BBC Weather).
Bottom line: Birmingham tomorrow follows a three-act structure — wet morning, clear window at midday, then returning rain in the evening. The afternoon window is your best chance for outdoor plans, but commuters should keep an eye on the radar after 4 PM.

What this means: the day is not a washout, but it asks for flexibility. The gap between 12 PM and 4 PM is the only reliably dry stretch, and it is narrow. Plan errands or a walk in that window, not after dinner.

Is there a weather warning for Birmingham?

Current Met Office weather warnings for West Midlands

  • The Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) provides 7-day forecasts including live warnings for the West Midlands.
  • Four yellow weather warnings — for rain and wind — are in force across England and Wales as Storm Benjamin moves through (The Independent, citing Met Office data).
  • Two rain warnings run from midnight to 9 PM, covering the Midlands, southern England, Wales, and parts of the north-west (The Independent).

Storm Benjamin may trigger wind and rain warnings

  • A wind warning covers parts of south-west England and western Wales from 6 AM to 3 PM, with gusts of 50–60 mph expected widely and 65–70 mph possible near coasts (The Independent, via Met Office data).
  • The Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) notes a smaller chance of gusts exceeding 70 mph locally, most likely late morning into the afternoon.
  • Birmingham is not in the core wind-warning zone, but rain bands from the storm will still affect the city.

How to check live warnings

  • The Met Office website (live warnings page) updates warnings in real time.
  • BBC Weather (the UK’s public-service broadcaster) also carries warning banners on its forecast pages.
  • The Environment Agency (UK government flood risk service) provides flood alerts for areas that could see 50 mm of rain.

The catch: Birmingham sits just outside the named warning zones for wind, but the rain warnings cover the city. That means the storm’s influence is felt more in prolonged wet conditions than in damaging gusts — a quieter but still disruptive impact for commuters.

Is it supposed to rain tomorrow in Birmingham?

Rain timing: morning band and evening showers

  • Morning: a band of showery rain moves through from the west, with the Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) showing a 90% probability at 6 AM.
  • Evening: light rain returns with a 66% chance, driven by the trailing edge of Storm Benjamin (Weather.com).
  • The afternoon offers a dry window — roughly 12 PM to 4 PM — with sunny spells (BBC Weather).

Precipitation probability: up to 66% in evening

  • Evening rain probability peaks at 66%, meaning about two in three forecast models predict measurable rain (Weather.com).
  • By comparison, the morning band is more certain — the Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) rates it at 90%.

Will the rain be heavy? Storm Benjamin influence

  • The Independent, reporting Met Office warnings states that Storm Benjamin is bringing “heavy rain and strong winds” across the UK.
  • Some areas in the South West could see up to 50 mm of rain on Thursday morning (The Independent, citing Met Office).
  • For Birmingham, the rain is expected to be showery rather than torrential, but the storm adds uncertainty to intensity.
What to watch

The 66% evening probability is uncertain enough that you should monitor updates through the afternoon. If Storm Benjamin shifts north or south by even 50 miles, Birmingham’s evening rain timing could change by several hours.

The pattern: rain is all but guaranteed in the morning, probable in the evening — but the afternoon window is your only dry bet. For commuters, the double hit means two wet commutes if the evening rain arrives early.

Will it be cold in Birmingham tomorrow?

Temperature range: 12°C to 18°C

  • High of 18°C in the afternoon, low of 12°C overnight (Weather.com).
  • The Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) reports a “feels like” temperature of 13°C during the rainiest periods, due to wind chill.

Wind chill factor with SW winds

  • South-westerly winds at 14 mph, gusting to 20 mph, will make it feel cooler than the thermometer reads (Weather.com).
  • The wind chill effect is strongest in the morning when rain and higher gusts coincide.

Comparison to seasonal averages

  • Birmingham’s average high for this date is around 17°C — so 18°C is very close to normal (Met Office climate data).
  • No snow is expected — the low of 12°C is well above freezing.
  • UV Index reaches 3 (Moderate) around midday, enough for fair-skinned people to burn after about 30 minutes of direct sun (BBC Weather).

The trade-off: it is not cold by any seasonal standard, but the wind and rain combination will make it feel 3–4°C cooler during the wet periods. A light jacket with a hood covers both the rain and the chill.

Where is Storm Benjamin going to hit in the UK?

Storm Benjamin’s projected path across the UK

  • Storm Benjamin is forecast to bring heavy rain and strong winds across much of England and Wales (The Independent, citing Met Office warnings).
  • The Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) issued four yellow warnings — two for rain and two for wind — covering a broad swath from southern England up through the Midlands.
  • A wind warning covers south-west England and western Wales from 6 AM to 3 PM, with gusts of 50–60 mph widely expected and 65–70 mph possible near coasts (The Independent, via Met Office).

Impact on Birmingham: rain and wind

  • Birmingham sits within the rain-warning zone, meaning the city will see prolonged showers and gusty conditions as the storm passes to the south and east.
  • The Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) describes Birmingham’s headline as “Heavy showers and longer spells of rain.”
  • Wind speeds in Birmingham are expected to reach 14–20 mph — noticeable but well below warning thresholds.

Other affected regions

  • Southern England and Wales bear the brunt of the wind warnings (The Independent).
  • Parts of the South West could see 50 mm of rain on Thursday morning, raising flood risks (The Independent, citing Met Office).
  • The rain warning runs from midnight to 9 PM and includes a risk of flooding to homes and businesses in affected areas (The Independent).
Why this matters

Birmingham is not in the most dangerous part of Storm Benjamin’s path — but it is close enough that a 30-mile wobble in the storm’s track could bring stronger winds into the city. Anyone with outdoor plans or travel should check the Met Office warnings again by mid-morning.

Bottom line: What this means: Birmingham gets the rain from Storm Benjamin but avoids the worst wind. The risk is not safety — it is inconvenience. Two wet commutes and a cancelled outdoor plan are the likeliest outcomes for most residents.

Timeline: Birmingham tomorrow hour by hour

Tomorrow morning (6–12)
Band of showery rain moves in from the west. 90% rain probability at 6 AM. Wind SW 10–20 mph. Temperature around 15°C.

Tomorrow early afternoon (12–15)
Rain clears, sunny spells develop. High of 18°C. Humidity 72%. Best window for outdoor plans.

Tomorrow late afternoon (15–18)
Increasing cloud, chance of isolated showers. Wind picks up as Storm Benjamin influence grows.

Tomorrow evening (18–24)
Light rain likely (66%). Temperature drops to 12°C. Wind SSW 11 mph. Wet commute home probable.

What’s confirmed — and what’s still unclear

Confirmed facts

  • Rain expected in the morning and evening (BBC Weather)
  • High temperature around 18°C, low around 12°C (Weather.com)
  • Wind speed 14–20 mph from the SW (Weather.com)
  • UV Index reaches 3 (Moderate) (BBC Weather)
  • Met Office yellow warnings active across England and Wales (The Independent)
  • Storm Benjamin bringing heavy rain and strong winds UK-wide (The Independent)

What’s unclear

  • Exact timing of rain bands — could shift ±2 hours depending on storm speed
  • Storm Benjamin’s precise track — whether it passes north or south of Birmingham affects rain intensity
  • Potential for thunder or heavier downpours within the rain bands
  • Whether evening rain arrives before or after the typical 5–6 PM commute peak

Expert perspectives

“Tomorrow morning will see a band of showery rain move through from the west.”

BBC Weather forecaster, UK public-service broadcaster

“We advise checking live warnings as Storm Benjamin develops.”

Met Office spokesperson, UK government weather authority

“Some areas could see as much as 50mm of rain on Thursday morning, especially in the South West.”

Met Office, as reported by The Independent

“There was a smaller chance of gusts in excess of 70mph very locally, most likely late morning and into the afternoon.”

Met Office, as reported by The Independent

The common thread across all forecasters: the morning rain is the surest bet, the afternoon is the only dry respite, and Storm Benjamin keeps the evening outcome uncertain. For Birmingham residents, the practical takeaway is to plan around that midday window and check warnings before heading home.

Related reading: Weather in Bristol 10 Days: Forecast, Warnings & Tips · Storm Floris Weather Warning: Bank Holiday Disruption

Additional sources

wunderground.com, accuweather.com

A detailed forecast for Birminghams weather tomorrow is available for residents and visitors.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the weather like in Birmingham tomorrow morning?

Expect showery rain moving in from the west, with a 90% probability at 6 AM. Temperatures around 15°C, wind SW at 10–20 mph (Met Office; BBC Weather).

Should I carry an umbrella in Birmingham tomorrow?

Yes — with rain likely in both the morning and evening, an umbrella is advisable. The afternoon window (12–4 PM) is dry, but the rest of the day sees at least intermittent rain (Weather.com).

Is there a chance of thunderstorms in Birmingham tomorrow?

Thunder is not currently forecast for Birmingham itself, but Storm Benjamin’s rain bands could contain isolated heavier downpours. The Met Office (the UK government’s weather authority) describes the headline as “heavy showers and longer spells of rain” — thunder is possible but not a primary risk.

What is the wind speed expected in Birmingham tomorrow?

South-westerly winds at 14 mph, gusting to 20 mph. Not strong enough for a warning in Birmingham, but noticeable — especially in the morning when rain coincides with higher gusts (Weather.com).

Will weather affect travel in Birmingham tomorrow?

Two wet commutes are the main travel impact. The morning rain (90% probability) and evening rain (66% probability) could slow road and rail travel. No snow or ice is expected, and wind speeds are below disruption thresholds in Birmingham (BBC Weather; Met Office).

How does Storm Benjamin compare to other UK storms?

Storm Benjamin is a moderate late-spring storm with wind gusts up to 75 mph near coasts and widespread rain. It carries four yellow warnings — less severe than autumn storms like Storm Babet (which brought red warnings), but still disruptive for travel and outdoor plans across England and Wales (The Independent).

Will it be sunny at any point in Birmingham tomorrow?

Yes — the early afternoon (roughly 12 PM to 4 PM) is forecast to bring sunny spells and clearing skies, with the high of 18°C. This is the best window for any outdoor activities (BBC Weather).

What is the UV index forecast for Birmingham tomorrow?

UV Index 3 (Moderate). Fair-skinned individuals may burn after about 30 minutes of direct sun during the afternoon window. Sunglasses and sunscreen are recommended if you will be outside for extended periods (BBC Weather).

What is the humidity forecast for Birmingham tomorrow?

Humidity is forecast at 72%, which is moderate for Birmingham. It will feel muggiest during the morning rain band and drier during the afternoon clearing (Met Office).

For Birmingham residents planning tomorrow, the choice is simple: commuters need rain gear for both rush hours, the afternoon offers a brief outdoor window, and checking the Met Office warnings around 2 PM is the smartest move you can make. The alternative is trusting a 66% probability and risking a soaking on the way home.